Skip to main content

The Globe and Mail

Premarket: World shares rally after Chinese rate cut

A Chinese national flag is seen near a construction site in Shanghai's financial district June 1, 2012.


World shares hit their highest level in a week on Thursday and the euro jumped after China cut interest rates for the first time in four years, boosting speculation the United States might also embark on a monetary stimulus.

The 25 basis point cut in China's benchmark interest rates sent U.S. stock index futures sharply higher, pushed the euro above $1.26 to the dollar and sent Brent crude oil back above $100 a barrel.

"A cut of 25 basis points is not massive by any means, but it does assist and signals that central banks are there and looking to support the economy when needed," said Keith Bowman, equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.

Story continues below advertisement

Since last week's U.S. job data, there has been rising speculation of more stimulus measures from global central banks, though the European Central Bank had dashed hopes that it would take any near-term action on Wednesday.

The improved appetite for riskier assets has also been linked to reports that German and EU officials are working urgently on a plan to fix Spain's troubled banking system and moving closer to outlining a broad plan to deal with Europe's crisis.

Much now depends on what Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke will say in testimony to a congressional committee later on Thursday.

The case for action by the Fed was laid out by the central bank's second most senior official, Janet Yellen, in a speech on Wednesday that highlighted the risks to the economic recovery from ongoing housing problems, a weak job market and worsening financial conditions.

The speculation that some form of central bank easing is likely lifted the MSCI world equity index 0.5 per cent to 301.63 points, extending its gains to about 3 per cent this week and putting it on track for the best weekly performance since late January.

The FTSE Eurofirst 300 index of top European shares was up 1.2 per cent at 985.94.

"China's move should help support the stocks rally that we have seen in the market over the past days. But the whole European scenario still overhangs," Bowman said.

Story continues below advertisement

The euro hit a high of $1.2601, its highest since May 28 and about 2.5 per cent above a two-year low of $1.2288 hit last week.

Europe gears up
Sentiment in risk asset markets had been improving before the Chinese rate cut as reports indicated that Germany was working more urgently with EU officials to tackle Spain's banking crisis and maybe softening its opposition to other moves to share responsibility for the region's huge mountain of debt.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel has tried to play down expectations that a master plan for the future of Europe would emerge at a leaders summit scheduled for the end of the month but said it would come up with an agenda to integrate further.

"Details of the plan remain unknown. But the Chancellor said she is in favour of a two-speed Europe, namely, not forcing, but giving everybody the option to participate," said Evelyn Herrmann, European Economist at BNP Paribas.

The better tone in the markets allowed Spain to sell €2.1-billion of fresh debt on Thursday, just days after the country's Treasury minister warned that access to the credit markets was under threat.

The average yield for the 10-year bond at the auction rose to 6.044 per cent from 5.743 per cent when the bond was last sold on April 19, though the value of the bids was 3.3 times the amount on offer, up from 2.4 times at the previous sale.

Story continues below advertisement

"It's a strong auction, no doubt helped by the relatively small size," said Peter Chatwell, rate strategist at Credit Agricole.

Yields initially fell 10 basis points on Spain's existing 10-year bonds after the auction to 6.2 per cent.

But a day after the ECB indicated it was not planning any near-term action to help Europe's struggling economy, investors continued to seek refuge in the relative security of French debt.

The yield on France's benchmark 10-year bond fell to a record low of 2.46 per cent at its auction of new bonds.

Commodity markets followed the euro and shares higher on the Chinese rate cut announcement, which will increase hopes of greater demand for oil and other industrial materials.

Brent crude, which had hit a low of $99.62 (U.S.) a barrel earlier, rose 63 cents to $101.25. U.S. crude was trading up about $1 a barrel at $86.

Spot gold was up 0.3 per cent at $1,625.36 an ounce.

Report an error

The Globe invites you to share your views. Please stay on topic and be respectful to everyone. For more information on our commenting policies and how our community-based moderation works, please read our Community Guidelines and our Terms and Conditions.

We’ve made some technical updates to our commenting software. If you are experiencing any issues posting comments, simply log out and log back in.

Discussion loading… ✨

Combined Shape Created with Sketch.

Combined Shape Created with Sketch.

Thank you!

You are now subscribed to the newsletter at

You can unsubscribe from this newsletter or Globe promotions at any time by clicking the link at the bottom of the newsletter, or by emailing us at