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Bitcoin slips further as JPMorgan’s ‘Gandalf’ adds to CEO's bashing

Bitcoin emerged as a better bet this year than every major currency, stock index and commodity contract.

Benoit Tessier/Reuters

Well, it ain't Jamie Dimon, but there's another heavy hitter at JPMorgan Chase & Co. who isn't a fan of cryptocurrencies.

Global Head of Quantitative and Derivatives Strategy Marko Kolanovic (also known as "Gandalf" and "Half-Man, Half-God") echoed many of his boss' warnings about digital currencies in an assessment of the asset class on Wednesday.

Bitcoin is down roughly 8 per cent since being called a "fraud" by Mr. Dimon on Tuesday afternoon.

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"Cryptocurrencies cannot be reliably valued and they have significant 'tail risk' that could come in the form of a regulatory ban," writes Mr.  Kolanovic. "Moreover, the whole cryptocurrency market exhibits some parallels to fraudulent pyramid schemes."

It's likely that other governments will follow in China's footsteps and crack down on digital currencies, he added.

"While we don't know whether the price of cryptocurrencies will go up or down in the near-term, the history of currencies, governments and financial fraud tells us that the future for cryptocurrencies will likely not be bright," according to the strategist.

Bitcoin, the original and still the biggest cryptocurrency, has been on a tear in recent months, hitting a record high just below $5,000 at the start of September after a more than fivefold increase in price since the start of the year.

But bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have been falling since early last week, when China banned the issuance of new digital coins for fundraising purposes - a phenomenon known as initial coin offerings, or ICOs.

ICOs have fueled a rapid ascent in the value of all cryptocurrencies, from about $17-billion at the start of the year - with bitcoin making up around 90 per cent of that - to a record high close to $180-billion at the beginning of September, of which bitcoin represented less than half.

Following the ICO ban, the market was further spooked by reports early this week that Chinese authorities were planning to forbid any trading of cryptocurrencies and by a warning on ICOs from Britain's financial watchdog, raising fears of a wider crackdown.

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Mr. Dimon's warning triggered a further 11-per-cent collapse in the price of bitcoin, which had already lost around 15 per cent of its value in 10 days.

"He joins a long line of market commentators that have been critical of bitcoin and it potentially being in a bubble, so his comments could have been the tipping point," said James Butterfill, head of research and investment strategy at ETF Securities in London.

The cryptocurrency tumbled to as low as $3,720.01 on the Bitstamp exchange before recovering to trade around $3,810, still down 8.7 per cent on the day.

Most other digital currencies were down also, with bitcoin's main rival ether - often called Ethereum, the name given to the project behind the currency - down 10 per cent on the day, according to Coinmarketcap, an industry website.

Mr. Dimon told an investor conference in New York that if any of his traders were found trading bitcoin he would "fire them in a second," and that bitcoin was "worse than tulips bulbs," referring to a famous market bubble from the 1600s.

"This is not the first time that Jamie Dimon has spoken against the currency - the last time he had a similar go on the currency was in November 2015," said ThinkMarkets analyst Naeem Aslam. "Since then, the currency has had a remarkable run."

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"Most importantly, given that the CEO does not think that shorting this trade would yield a more favorable outcome shows that the cryptocurrency has a lot more room to run."

With files from Reuters

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